Abstract

Conditional Handover (CHO) by the 3GPP enables efficient user mobility between Base Stations (BSs) by preselecting and preparing Target BSs (T-BSs). However, CHO relies on signal strength for T-BS selection, leading to resource blocking on multiple T-BSs due to signal fluctuations. Existing state-of-the-art methods use deep learning to narrow the list of T-BSs but still lack an effective method for resource reservation timing. This paper presents in-time CHO (iCHO) which exploits historical mobility data to estimate user dwell time at the current BS for reducing resource reservation duration. The proposed iCHO employs a Multivariate Multi-output Single-step Prediction (MMSP) model that leverages a multi-task learning approach to simultaneously predict the minimal list of required T-BSs together with the user dwell time. The model demonstrates remarkable performance across two mobility datasets of different scales, achieving T-BS prediction accuracies of 98% and 95%. It also ensures a 100% handover success rate with a minimum of three and four predicted T-BSs for both datasets, respectively, significantly limiting the list of T-BSs. Moreover, the MMSP model achieves a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 19 s and 45 s when predicting the user’s dwell time at the current BS. By utilizing these predictions, iCHO reserves resources at the minimum number of T-BSs immediately before handover. Thus, iCHO can save up to 99% of resources from blockage as compared to the CHO, enabling operators to increase revenue by serving up to nine additional users with the saved resources.